Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Colin Castleton * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Justin Minaya * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 31 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler | 19 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| William Baker | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 39 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| DJ Rodman * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| PJ Hall * | 29 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 32 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Grill | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jonas Aidoo | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Evan Gilyard | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter