Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rio Grande Valley Vipers +5 (120-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sims * | 34 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| KJ Simpson * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 32 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 23 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Ibou Badji * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 30 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| DJ Rodman | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Aidoo | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tristen Newton * | 36 | 11-22 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 22 | - |
| Daishen Nix * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| John Knight III * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Efe Abogidi * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Teddy Allen | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
* = starter