Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +6 (123-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton * | 38 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 32 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 36 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Alize Johnson * | 34 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Donte Ingram * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Martez Brown * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher | 28 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nate Santos | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| CJ Fulton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Simpson * | 36 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Liam McNeeley * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 30 | 5-15 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Ibou Badji * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 22 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Eric Dixon | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DJ Rodman | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Garrett | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter