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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2019 Team Stats (5 games)

67.6
PPG
64.4
Opp
+3.2
Margin
43.3%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
71.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
9.8
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#136
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1163 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1102 (#45) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +3.0 (#134) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +3.4 (#114) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.569 (#131) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More โ†’ 0.613 (#130) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More โ†’ 0.613 (#131) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 71.3 More โ†’ 0.563 (#136) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 70.1 More โ†’ 0.559 (#104) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.641 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.641 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1167 (#60) RD 114 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 74 - 68
2018-11-09 @ Montana Grizzlies L 74 - 81
2018-11-13 vs Mercer Bears W 62 - 60
2018-11-19 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 75 - 65
2018-11-20 @ Creighton Bluejays L 68 - 93
2018-11-21 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 91 - 67
2018-11-28 @ Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 76
2018-12-01 @ Liberty Flames L 52 - 78
2018-12-04 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 83 - 80
2018-12-12 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 95 - 88
2018-12-15 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 59 - 71
2018-12-19 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 86 - 71
2018-12-29 vs Middle Georgia Knights W 117 - 69
2019-01-03 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 63 - 58
2019-01-05 @ Texas State Bobcats W 73 - 69
2019-01-10 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 89 - 76
2019-01-12 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 74 - 73
2019-01-17 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 69 - 66
2019-01-19 @ Troy Trojans L 75 - 77
2019-01-24 vs Texas State Bobcats L 68 - 81
2019-01-26 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 77 - 71
2019-02-02 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 81 - 72
2019-02-06 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 76 - 82
2019-02-08 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 72 - 76
2019-02-13 vs Troy Trojans W 77 - 63
2019-02-15 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 90 - 81
2019-02-21 @ App State Mountaineers W 80 - 75
2019-02-23 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 82 - 95
2019-02-28 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 76 - 60
2019-03-02 vs Little Rock Trojans W 83 - 70
2019-03-09 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 90 - 85
2019-03-16 vs Texas State Bobcats W 59 - 46
2019-03-17 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 73 - 64
2019-03-22 @ Houston Cougars L 55 - 84

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D'Marcus Simonds D'Marcus Simonds G 33 35.7 18.3 5.0 3.7 1.3 1.0 3.7 3.5 22.1 56 32 1.8 2.1 41.7 23.7 57.1 2.13 237.6 45.7
Devin Mitchell Devin Mitchell G 26 27.0 12.5 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.0 13.6 75 25 3.0 4.7 46.2 35.3 80.0 3.43 287.2 57.7
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 33 32.0 11.7 5.7 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.8 18.0 20 32 0.6 0.8 40.0 28.2 77.8 -2.76 301.0 49.2
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 33 31.1 11.5 4.5 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.8 15.9 1 32 0.0 0.0 29.5 27.3 71.4 -1.38 270.5 36.9
Kane Williams Kane Williams G 32 31.4 10.7 3.1 3.6 1.9 0.4 2.2 1.1 16.4 119 31 3.8 5.1 47.1 50.0 80.8 5.41 376.3 50.0
Nelson Phillips Nelson Phillips - 6 12.8 7.3 3.7 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.3 4.2 7.3 -2 31 -0.1 -0.2 60.0 40.0 66.7 -1.15 66.8 64.0
Damon Wilson Damon Wilson G 33 19.3 5.3 3.0 1.2 0.9 0.2 1.0 0.8 8.6 -36 32 -1.1 -2.4 42.9 33.3 82.4 -1.88 245.2 48.2
Jordan Tyson Jordan Tyson F 33 12.4 2.6 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 5.7 -31 32 -1.0 -3.4 25.0 0 50.0 -4.17 746.5 25.0
Josh Linder Josh Linder F 21 4.2 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.2 -8 18 -0.4 -4.4 33.3 0 50.0 -1.98 347.9 33.3
Chris Clerkley Chris Clerkley F 5 3.4 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.6 - - - - 0 0 0 -3.57 0 0
Matt Chism Matt Chism G 7 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4 -14 5 -2.8 -94.4 0 0 0 -3.0 0 0
Kavonte Ivery Kavonte Ivery F 15 2.5 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 -27 13 -2.1 -42.4 100.0 100.0 0 -4.7 450.0 150.0
James Wall James Wall F 6 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.68 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG