Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 25 | - |
| Kane Williams * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Devin Mitchell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Larenz Nottingham * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Alex Peacock * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | - |
| Jaylen Shead * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Nijal Pearson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Eric Terry * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shelby Adams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Quentin Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Sule | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mason Harrell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chandler Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Gurley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter