Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +7 (95-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jean-Baptiste * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| J. Johnson Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J. Scott * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| T. Smallwood * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Kerby | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| R. Vila | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Caldwell | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Damon Wilson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Devin Mitchell | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kavonte Ivery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Linder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Chism | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Wall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter