Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ty Cockfield * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Grantham Gillard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Shaquillo Fritz * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Canberk Kus | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Malik Brevard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Christian Willis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Matthews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Damon Wilson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Kane Williams * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Devin Mitchell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Josh Linder | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kavonte Ivery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Chism | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Wall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter