Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Warren * | 33 | 4-18 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| David Azore * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ayoub Nouhi * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Mwamba * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jabari Narcis * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Edric Dennis | 26 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Radshad Davis | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tiandre Jackson-Young | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andres Ibarguen | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| DJ Bryant | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Pedro Castro | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kane Williams * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 33 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Damon Wilson * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Devin Mitchell | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nelson Phillips | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Josh Linder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Wall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kavonte Ivery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Chism | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter