Georgia State
2005 Team Stats (4 games)
62.5
PPG
71.8
Opp
-9.2
Margin
37.2%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
38.5
RPG
10.8
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.2
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#231
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 964 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 983 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1003 (#160) | HCA +110 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.9 (#240) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -4.7 (#228) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.403 (#208) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.251 (#243) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.247 (#244) | AdjNet -9.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.387 (#231) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.473 (#189) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.384 (#220) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.401 (#219) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 952 (#193) | RD 154 | GP 28 |
2005 Schedule & Results
2005 Roster
No roster data available for this season.