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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2005 Team Stats (4 games)

62.5
PPG
71.8
Opp
-9.2
Margin
37.2%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
38.5
RPG
10.8
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.2
Adj PPG
70.2
Adj Opp PPG
#231
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 964 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 983 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More โ†’ 1003 (#160) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -5.9 (#240) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -4.7 (#228) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.403 (#208) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.5 More โ†’ 0.251 (#243) AdjNet -9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.6 More โ†’ 0.247 (#244) AdjNet -9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.387 (#231) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.473 (#189) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.384 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.401 (#219) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 28 More โ†’ 952 (#193) RD 154 | GP 28

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-20 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 70 - 68
2004-11-21 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 55 - 76
2004-11-26 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 59 - 77
2004-11-29 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 85 - 78
2004-12-02 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 75 - 78
2004-12-04 @ Stetson Hatters L 70 - 79
2004-12-07 vs Delta State Statesmen W 88 - 68
2004-12-11 @ Charlotte 49ers L 65 - 80
2004-12-20 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 50 - 67
2004-12-29 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 56 - 98
2005-01-03 vs UCF Knights W 76 - 63
2005-01-05 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 75 - 73
2005-01-08 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 57 - 59
2005-01-10 @ Belmont Bruins L 46 - 59
2005-01-13 @ Troy Trojans W 96 - 89
2005-01-15 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 92 - 68
2005-01-17 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 74 - 83
2005-01-23 vs Mercer Bears W 72 - 61
2005-01-26 vs Troy Trojans L 73 - 84
2005-01-28 @ Mercer Bears W 65 - 60
2005-02-03 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 70 - 68
2005-02-05 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 78 - 73
2005-02-11 vs Belmont Bruins L 59 - 69
2005-02-13 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 86 - 62
2005-02-17 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 80 - 76
2005-02-19 @ UCF Knights L 65 - 70
2005-02-25 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 67 - 81
2005-02-27 vs Stetson Hatters W 84 - 63
2005-03-03 @ Belmont Bruins L 61 - 67

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.