Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | -5.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +13 (76-63). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yelle | 31 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Williams | 29 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| W. Bakanowsky | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Avant | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Rose | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Peppers | 20 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Nash | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Johnson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Gill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 37 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| K. Becken | 34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| M. Brown | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Manier | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Barnett | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| H. Favors | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Morgan | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter