Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | +5.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -5 (60-65). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown | 38 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| K. Becken | 37 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| H. Favors | 27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 26 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Morgan | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Barnett | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Manier | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Dickerson | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dinkins | 38 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Will Emerson | 36 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Damitrius Coleman | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| E. McDonnell | 31 | 4-16 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Duke | 31 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Alacqua | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Walker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler McCurry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Dolan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter