Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +2 (75-73). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bell | 34 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Fred Marshall | 28 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Quinton Young | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| K. Watson | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Webb | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Ludgood | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ty McTyer | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| P. Tucker | 14 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lamar Moore | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jimmy Bishop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thomas | 38 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Sylvester Morgan | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| M. Brown | 34 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Malcolm Manier | 34 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| K. Becken | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Tikoyo Barnett | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Herman Favors | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter