Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown | 35 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Morgan | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Thomas | 27 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Manier | 26 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| K. Becken | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| H. Favors | 23 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Barnett | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Dickerson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Withers | 32 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| B. Plavich | 32 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| E. Basden | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Baldwin | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| E.J. Drayton | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Iti | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Goldwire | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Nance | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Chris Sager | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter