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Georgia State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History
Coach: Ron Hunter

2019 Team Stats (30 games)

77.1
PPG
73.3
Opp
+3.8
Margin
46.3%
FG%
38.6%
3P%
65.5%
FT%
33.0
RPG
12.4
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#136
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1163 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1102 (#45) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +3.0 (#134) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +3.4 (#114) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.569 (#131) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.613 (#130) AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.0 More → 0.613 (#131) AdjNet +4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.563 (#136) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.559 (#104) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.641 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.641 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 33 More → 1167 (#60) RD 114 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 74 - 68
2018-11-09 @ Montana Grizzlies L 74 - 81
2018-11-13 vs Mercer Bears W 62 - 60
2018-11-19 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 75 - 65
2018-11-20 @ Creighton Bluejays L 68 - 93
2018-11-21 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 91 - 67
2018-11-28 @ Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 76
2018-12-01 @ Liberty Flames L 52 - 78
2018-12-04 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 83 - 80
2018-12-12 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 95 - 88
2018-12-15 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 59 - 71
2018-12-19 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 86 - 71
2018-12-29 vs Middle Georgia Knights W 117 - 69
2019-01-03 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 63 - 58
2019-01-05 @ Texas State Bobcats W 73 - 69
2019-01-10 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 89 - 76
2019-01-12 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 74 - 73
2019-01-17 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 69 - 66
2019-01-19 @ Troy Trojans L 75 - 77
2019-01-24 vs Texas State Bobcats L 68 - 81
2019-01-26 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 77 - 71
2019-02-02 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 81 - 72
2019-02-06 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 76 - 82
2019-02-08 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 72 - 76
2019-02-13 vs Troy Trojans W 77 - 63
2019-02-15 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 90 - 81
2019-02-21 @ App State Mountaineers W 80 - 75
2019-02-23 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 82 - 95
2019-02-28 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 76 - 60
2019-03-02 vs Little Rock Trojans W 83 - 70
2019-03-09 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 90 - 85
2019-03-16 vs Texas State Bobcats W 59 - 46
2019-03-17 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 73 - 64
2019-03-22 @ Houston Cougars L 55 - 84

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D'Marcus Simonds D'Marcus Simonds G 34 35.7 18.4 5.0 3.6 1.3 1.0 3.7 14.3 11.2 56 32 1.8 2.1 41.3 27.6 65.4 2.13 55.0 46.4
Devin Mitchell Devin Mitchell G 27 26.7 12.2 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.9 8.4 6.9 75 25 3.0 4.7 44.7 42.5 65.2 3.43 69.9 61.1
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 34 32.2 11.9 5.8 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.7 7.9 12.2 20 32 0.6 0.8 47.4 40.1 65.5 -2.76 68.5 59.4
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 34 30.7 11.5 4.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.2 8.6 9.0 1 32 0.0 0.0 41.9 39.6 78.5 -1.38 61.0 53.1
Kane Williams Kane Williams G 33 31.6 11.1 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.5 2.2 6.1 11.9 119 31 3.8 5.1 49.8 42.9 71.2 5.41 67.7 52.7
Damon Wilson Damon Wilson G 34 19.9 5.4 3.2 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.3 -36 32 -1.1 -2.4 52.0 48.9 58.3 -1.88 62.4 61.0
Nelson Phillips Nelson Phillips G 31 12.8 5.1 3.3 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 3.5 5.3 -2 31 -0.1 -0.2 55.5 40.0 58.8 -1.15 59.6 58.2
Jordan Tyson Jordan Tyson F 34 12.2 2.5 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.6 4.1 -31 32 -1.0 -3.4 50.0 0 62.9 -4.17 60.2 50.0
Josh Linder Josh Linder F 22 4.0 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 -8 18 -0.4 -4.4 63.2 0 30.0 -1.98 57.7 63.2
Chris Clerkley Chris Clerkley F 5 3.4 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 2.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -3.57 100.0 100.0
Matt Chism Matt Chism G 8 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 -14 5 -2.8 -94.4 40.0 100.0 0.0 -3.0 42.5 50.0
Kavonte Ivery Kavonte Ivery F 18 2.1 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 -27 13 -2.1 -42.4 20.0 25.0 75.0 -4.7 38.3 30.0
James Wall James Wall F 7 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0.0 -2.68 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG