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Dayton

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Dayton Flyers, Dayton
Program History
Coach: Anthony Grant

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

67.0
PPG
61.6
Opp
+8.0
Margin
46.3%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
33.3
RPG
13.5
APG
12.3
TO
71.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1366 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1373 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1125 (#39) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +34.0 (#58) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +22.1 (#46) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.588 (#44) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.6 More → 0.680 (#64) NetEff +6.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.3 More → 0.853 (#13) AdjNet +15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.4 More → 0.855 (#13) AdjNet +15.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.675 (#47) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.894 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.872 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 30 More → 1266 (#35) RD 130 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs UIC Flames W 64 - 54
2021-11-17 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 59 - 78
2021-11-20 vs Austin Peay Governors L 81 - 87
2021-11-25 @ Miami Hurricanes W 76 - 60
2021-11-26 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 74 - 73
2021-11-28 @ Belmont Bruins W 63 - 61
2021-12-01 vs Alabama State Hornets W 93 - 54
2021-12-04 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 79 - 41
2021-12-08 @ SMU Mustangs L 69 - 77
2021-12-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 62 - 57
2021-12-18 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 68 - 76
2021-12-21 vs Southern Jaguars W 69 - 60
2022-01-11 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 68 - 63
2022-01-15 @ Duquesne Dukes W 72 - 52
2022-01-18 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 68 - 50
2022-01-22 @ George Mason Patriots L 49 - 50
2022-01-25 vs Fordham Rams W 68 - 61
2022-01-28 vs Rhode Island Rams W 53 - 51
2022-02-02 @ VCU Rams W 82 - 52
2022-02-05 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 61 - 72
2022-02-09 vs Duquesne Dukes W 75 - 54
2022-02-12 vs George Washington Colonials W 80 - 54
2022-02-14 @ Rhode Island Rams W 63 - 57
2022-02-19 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 74 - 62
2022-02-23 vs UMass Minutemen W 82 - 61
2022-02-26 @ La Salle Explorers L 60 - 62
2022-03-01 @ Richmond Spiders W 55 - 53
2022-03-05 vs Davidson Wildcats W 82 - 76
2022-03-11 vs UMass Minutemen W 75 - 72
2022-03-12 vs Richmond Spiders L 64 - 68

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Linssen M. Linssen F 1 19.0 17.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 81 2.6 7.2 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
J. Navarro J. Navarro G 1 30.0 15.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Holmes II D. Holmes II - 30 30.2 12.5 5.8 1.3 0.4 2.2 1.2 1.6 19.3 -35 -5.0 -7.8 73.5 50.0 53.6 1.69 305.8 74.5
Thompson Camara Thompson Camara - 29 26.9 11.0 7.0 1.6 0.8 0.7 2.6 1.9 16.7 - - - 45.5 27.3 58.6 0.33 236.1 48.2
E. Weaver E. Weaver - 5 24.4 9.8 1.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 2.4 1.2 10.4 -12 -0.5 -1.1 83.3 80.0 0 -0.72 408.3 116.7
M. Smith M. Smith G 30 30.9 9.2 4.3 5.5 1.9 0.1 1.9 1.5 17.5 -143 -4.8 -8.3 41.3 44.4 78.9 2.6 253.9 45.7
K. Elvis K. Elvis - 29 25.5 9.2 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 1.3 1.2 10.9 173 5.1 8.1 33.3 33.3 100.0 0.74 360.6 41.7
Koby Brea Koby Brea G 16 22.0 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.4 9.2 127 3.6 6.5 39.1 28.6 25.0 0.62 248.4 47.8
R.J. Blakney R.J. Blakney F 11 23.2 6.4 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.1 1.9 7.8 255 7.3 13.3 42.9 30.8 66.7 1.52 156.8 52.4
Mustapha Amzil Mustapha Amzil F 16 20.0 4.8 4.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 1.1 1.2 7.8 146 4.2 8.5 20.0 18.8 100.0 0.73 174.6 27.5
L. Greer III L. Greer III - 1 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -104 -3.9 -5.9 50.0 0 100.0 0.67 69.4 50.0
Moulaye Sissoko Moulaye Sissoko - 9 7.1 1.9 2.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.2 4.3 29 1.0 5.4 50.0 0 66.7 0.24 256.0 50.0
C. Wilson C. Wilson PG 2 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Nixon D. Nixon - 1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
D. Swerlein D. Swerlein G 2 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zimi Nwokeji Zimi Nwokeji - 4 4.8 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 -21 -1.3 -10.2 0.0 0 0 -0.38 100.0 0.0
K. Washington K. Washington F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 17 1.5 10.8 - - - 0.3 - -
D. Jones D. Jones G 2 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 176 5.3 6.6 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
T. Shulman T. Shulman G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
M. Gally M. Gally - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Harrison A. Harrison G 1 14.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -10 -0.4 -1.9 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Brady Uhl Brady Uhl - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG