Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +21 (82-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kelly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Buttrick * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Fernandes * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Steadman * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Garcia | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| G. Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Dominguez | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Santos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Swerlein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Marcus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Player #4431736 * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Player #4433607 * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Uhl | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter