Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +39 (93-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Neal * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| G. Liddell * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Barber * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Strawbridge Jr. * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| I. Range * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Reyna III | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. McCray | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. McClelland | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Stewart | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Clark | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Clark | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 31 | - |
| D. Holmes II * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. Camara * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
* = starter