Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fernandes | 38 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Jones * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Buttrick * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Garcia | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Steadman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Blakney | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Holmes II * | 37 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| M. Smith * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Camara * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Brea | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Amzil | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter