Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Alleyne * | 39 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | - |
| K. Aluma * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| H. Cattoor * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Mutts * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Murphy * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. N'Guessan | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Maddox | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Pedulla | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Smith * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Holmes II * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Camara * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -5 | - |
| K. Elvis * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter