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Davidson

Also known as: Davidson Wildcats, Davidson
Program History

2015 Team Stats (7 games)

68.3
PPG
78.0
Opp
-9.7
Margin
40.3%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
64.9%
FT%
31.6
RPG
16.0
APG
9.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.9
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#33
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1229 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1223 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1107 (#42) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +11.7 (#37) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +9.3 (#47) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.797 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.8 More โ†’ 0.874 (#48) AdjNet +16.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More โ†’ 0.876 (#49) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.732 (#33) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 67.7 More โ†’ 0.637 (#44) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.776 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.761 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1237 (#33) RD 112 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs Catholic Cardinals W 102 - 66
2014-11-18 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 86 - 51
2014-11-22 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 72 - 90
2014-11-26 @ UCF Knights W 95 - 69
2014-11-29 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 72 - 49
2014-12-03 vs Charlotte 49ers W 92 - 86
2014-12-06 vs Stetson Hatters W 90 - 59
2014-12-10 @ Montana Grizzlies W 110 - 99
2014-12-13 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 78 - 58
2014-12-20 @ Charleston Cougars W 80 - 68
2014-12-30 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 72 - 83
2015-01-03 vs Richmond Spiders W 81 - 67
2015-01-07 @ VCU Rams L 65 - 71
2015-01-10 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 89 - 54
2015-01-14 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 71 - 63
2015-01-17 @ Richmond Spiders L 63 - 89
2015-01-20 vs Dayton Flyers W 77 - 60
2015-01-24 @ George Mason Patriots W 80 - 73
2015-01-31 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 70 - 75
2015-02-04 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 61 - 62
2015-02-07 vs Duquesne Dukes W 95 - 69
2015-02-11 vs George Mason Patriots W 92 - 71
2015-02-14 @ La Salle Explorers W 77 - 69
2015-02-18 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 65 - 63
2015-02-21 vs Fordham Rams W 76 - 57
2015-02-25 @ Rhode Island Rams W 60 - 59
2015-02-28 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 77 - 66
2015-03-05 vs VCU Rams W 82 - 55
2015-03-07 @ Duquesne Dukes W 107 - 78
2015-03-13 vs La Salle Explorers W 67 - 66
2015-03-14 vs VCU Rams L 73 - 93
2015-03-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 52 - 83

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jack Gibbs Jack Gibbs G 22 30.7 17.0 3.7 4.6 1.5 0.0 2.6 5.1 19.0 98 18 5.4 8.2 37.2 36.5 85.7 1.33 135.5 47.3
Tyler Kalinoski Tyler Kalinoski G 29 35.3 16.8 5.5 4.1 1.2 0.4 1.3 5.6 21.1 144 22 6.5 8.6 45.1 41.5 72.2 0.15 137.2 55.6
Brian Sullivan Brian Sullivan G 29 33.6 12.7 3.0 3.8 0.7 0.0 1.5 4.3 14.4 147 22 6.7 9.3 37.9 35.7 88.5 2.18 135.5 50.0
Jordan Barham Jordan Barham G 28 22.4 11.8 6.0 1.2 0.4 0.4 1.1 3.1 15.6 40 22 1.8 4.0 57.5 60.0 61.1 -1.84 160.9 59.2
Peyton Aldridge Peyton Aldridge F 29 30.7 9.2 5.0 1.5 0.4 1.2 0.9 3.7 12.8 181 22 8.2 12.4 46.7 35.4 66.7 4.26 119.3 54.7
Jake Belford Jake Belford F 5 20.2 7.8 3.2 2.4 0.0 0.6 1.2 2.0 10.8 51 6 8.5 18.2 40.0 0.0 71.4 1.24 149.1 40.0
Oskar Michelsen Oskar Michelsen F 29 17.4 5.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.6 6.0 90 22 4.1 9.4 36.2 36.4 45.5 0.69 145.6 48.9
Jordan Watkins Jordan Watkins G 19 11.6 3.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 4.8 65 17 3.8 22.2 20.0 33.3 75.0 5.02 244.1 30.0
Nathan Ekwu Nathan Ekwu F 28 11.4 3.0 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.6 5.6 53 21 2.5 9.4 50.0 0.0 14.3 -1.71 199.2 50.0
Andrew McAuliffe Andrew McAuliffe F 29 12.6 2.7 2.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 5.3 28 22 1.3 4.8 58.3 0 28.6 -1.05 145.9 58.3
Kamau Faines Kamau Faines G 5 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 -4 5 -0.8 -33.3 0 0 0 -1.27 0 0
Connor Perkey Connor Perkey F 6 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 -9 6 -1.5 -28.3 0 0 0 -2.31 0 0
Ali Mackay Ali Mackay F 14 4.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 -3 13 -0.2 -2.7 0 0 0 -1.97 0 0
Matt Williams Matt Williams G 9 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.6 -7 7 -1.0 -23.4 0 0 0 -2.29 0 0
Rusty Reigel Rusty Reigel G 9 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 -9 9 -1.0 -16.3 100.0 0 0 -2.26 100.0 100.0
Manu Giamoukis Manu Giamoukis G 8 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -10 9 -1.1 -29.8 0 0 0 -2.28 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG