Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sibert * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| S. Smith * | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Pollard * | 28 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| B. Wehrli | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Gruden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Haldes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Dupuy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kalinoski * | 40 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| P. Aldridge * | 40 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| B. Sullivan * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Barham * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Ekwu * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| O. Michelsen | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Watkins | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. McAuliffe | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Mackay | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter