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2014-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Margin 85.2% 14.8% -9.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.2% 9.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -11 (99-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Gibbs * 38 7-13 2-5 12-12 2 8 2 0 4 28 23 -
Tyler Kalinoski * 37 7-13 2-6 5-5 7 3 0 0 2 21 16 -
Peyton Aldridge * 36 6-9 0-2 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 14 13 -
Brian Sullivan * 32 5-8 4-7 8-9 2 2 1 0 0 22 19 -
Nathan Ekwu * 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Jordan Barham 18 5-6 0-0 6-6 4 1 0 0 2 16 13 -
Oskar Michelsen 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Andrew McAuliffe 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Gregory * 35 8-17 4-8 9-13 1 4 1 0 1 29 17 -
Jermaine Edmonds * 30 5-10 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 11 5 -
Martin Breunig * 28 10-13 0-0 10-11 6 1 1 0 1 30 24 -
Brandon Gfeller * 27 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
Mario Dunn * 20 3-6 1-2 3-3 3 3 0 0 1 10 9 -
Jack Lopez 23 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
Fabijan Krslovic 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Riley Bradshaw 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Chris Kemp 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Daniel Nwosu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter