Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.1% | 5.9% | -15.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -26 (69-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kalinoski * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 40 | - |
| Jack Gibbs * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 44 | - |
| Peyton Aldridge * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jake Belford * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Ekwu | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Barham | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Andrew McAuliffe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Watkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ali Mackay | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Connor Perkey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rusty Reigel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonys Henriquez * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kasey Wilson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Goodwin * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Staphon Blair * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B.J. Taylor * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Karell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Justin McBride | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Myles Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marshall Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter