Dallas Wings
2019 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 825 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 855 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 910 (#10) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.4 (#10) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -5.7 (#10) | HCA +4.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.290 (#10) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.311 (#10) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.310 (#10) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.383 (#10) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.387 (#10) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.329 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.330 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 875 (#10) | RD 152 | GP 34 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arike Ogunbowale
|
G | 35 | 31.6 | 18.7 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.3 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.6 | 35.3 | 82.1 | - | 50.0 | 43.9 |
Allisha Gray
|
G | 37 | 29.8 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 9.5 | - | - | - | - | 44.0 | 35.9 | 84.8 | - | 57.7 | 50.0 |
Kennedy Burke
|
F | 3 | 20.0 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 44.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 54.3 | 46.0 |
Kayla Thornton
|
F | 30 | 30.1 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 5.9 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.4 | 90.8 | - | 43.5 | 38.0 |
Isabelle Harrison
|
F | 32 | 25.1 | 8.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 8.2 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 71.6 | - | 49.4 | 45.5 |
G. Johnson
|
F | 31 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 6.9 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 33.9 | 56.7 | - | 45.9 | 44.8 |
Kaela Davis
|
F | 36 | 19.3 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 32.8 | 28.3 | 87.2 | - | 40.0 | 36.1 |
T. Plaisance
|
F | 25 | 16.1 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 | - | - | - | - | 37.8 | 33.3 | 74.1 | - | 49.7 | 46.7 |
Azurรก Stevens
|
F | 10 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 20.0 | 80.0 | - | 40.5 | 38.6 |
I. McGee-Stafford
|
F | 30 | 11.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 47.3 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 50.0 | 48.2 |
Kristine Anigwe
|
C | 10 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 40.4 | 33.3 |
Cayla George
|
F | 2 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 22.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 31.8 | 27.8 |
Megan Gustafson
|
C | 28 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 46.0 | 11.1 | 84.6 | - | 54.4 | 46.8 |
B. McCarty-Williams
|
- | 37 | 13.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 31.1 | 36.8 | 86.7 | - | 44.4 | 41.0 |
T. Hill
|
G | 5 | 11.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 26.7 | 14.3 | 80.0 | - | 37.8 | 30.0 |
K. Samuelson
|
G | 4 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
N. Seekamp
|
G | 3 | 14.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Morgan Bertsch
|
F | 2 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2019 Shot Zones
2457 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Arike OgunbowaleAllisha GrayKayla ThorntonG. Johnson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 288-525 | 54.9 | 576 | Arike Ogunbowale 18% (104 pts) | Allisha Gray 17% (96 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 16% (39 misses) | Kaela Davis 16% (39 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 225-608 | 37.0 | 450 | Arike Ogunbowale 21% (94 pts) | Allisha Gray 12% (56 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 21% (79 misses) | Kaela Davis 14% (54 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 96-278 | 34.5 | 192 | Arike Ogunbowale 30% (58 pts) | Isabelle Harrison 16% (30 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 31% (56 misses) | G. Johnson 13% (24 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 29-94 | 30.9 | 58 | Arike Ogunbowale 38% (22 pts) | Kaela Davis 17% (10 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 32% (21 misses) | Isabelle Harrison 18% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 74-221 | 33.5 | 148 | Arike Ogunbowale 30% (44 pts) | Isabelle Harrison 26% (38 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 31% (45 misses) | Kayla Thornton 17% (25 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-20 | 35.0 | 21 | Arike Ogunbowale 43% (9 pts) | G. Johnson 29% (6 pts) | Kayla Thornton 31% (4 misses) | Arike Ogunbowale 23% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-5 | 80.0 | 12 | Allisha Gray 25% (3 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 25% (3 pts) | G. Johnson 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 94-291 | 32.3 | 282 | Arike Ogunbowale 33% (93 pts) | G. Johnson 17% (48 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 28% (55 misses) | G. Johnson 14% (27 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 45-133 | 33.8 | 135 | G. Johnson 27% (36 pts) | T. Plaisance 20% (27 pts) | Arike Ogunbowale 26% (23 misses) | Allisha Gray 15% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 83-282 | 29.4 | 249 | Arike Ogunbowale 20% (51 pts) | Kayla Thornton 18% (45 pts) | Kayla Thornton 25% (50 misses) | Arike Ogunbowale 15% (30 misses) |