Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kaela Davis * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Theresa Plaisance * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Imani McGee-Stafford * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Azurá Stevens | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | - | |
| Arike Ogunbowale | 18 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brooke McCarty-Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter