Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Bonner | 36 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Smith | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 37 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| K. Davis | 31 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Gray | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Stevens | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 18 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. McCarty-Williams | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter