Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 34 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Carson | 15 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 35 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 33 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -5 | - |
| G. Johnson | 26 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 24 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. McCarty-Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Gray | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter