Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 37 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 11-16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| I. Harrison | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Thornton | 29 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. McCarty-Williams | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Y. Turner | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Turner | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. January | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Taylor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter