Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 6-22 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 31 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Gray | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. McCarty-Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| B. January | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Carson | 25 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Y. Turner | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter