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Cincinnati

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History
Coach: Mick Cronin

2014 Team Stats (17 games)

65.6
PPG
60.4
Opp
+5.2
Margin
42.6%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
71.2%
FT%
34.5
RPG
12.3
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.6
Adj PPG
55.5
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1260 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1300 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1108 (#40) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.9 (#29) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +13.2 (#26) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.860 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.7 More → 0.925 (#25) AdjNet +21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#25) AdjNet +21.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 55.5 More → 0.767 (#28) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 55.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.678 (#32) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.823 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.810 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 34 More → 1276 (#27) RD 117 | GP 34

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 74 - 61
2013-11-12 vs NC State Wolfpack W 68 - 57
2013-11-16 vs App State Mountaineers W 77 - 49
2013-11-20 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 81 - 62
2013-11-26 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 79 - 49
2013-11-29 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 95 - 67
2013-12-03 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 86 - 50
2013-12-07 @ New Mexico Lobos L 54 - 63
2013-12-14 @ Xavier Musketeers L 47 - 64
2013-12-17 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 44 - 43
2013-12-21 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 69 - 48
2013-12-23 vs Chicago State Cougars W 102 - 62
2013-12-28 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 74 - 59
2014-01-01 vs SMU Mustangs W 65 - 57
2014-01-04 @ Memphis Tigers W 69 - 53
2014-01-07 @ Houston Cougars W 61 - 60
2014-01-11 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 71 - 51
2014-01-14 vs Temple Owls W 69 - 58
2014-01-18 @ South Florida Bulls W 61 - 54
2014-01-23 vs UCF Knights W 69 - 51
2014-01-26 @ Temple Owls W 80 - 76
2014-01-30 @ Louisville Cardinals W 69 - 66
2014-02-02 vs South Florida Bulls W 50 - 45
2014-02-06 vs UConn Huskies W 63 - 58
2014-02-08 @ SMU Mustangs L 55 - 76
2014-02-15 vs Houston Cougars W 73 - 62
2014-02-19 @ UCF Knights W 77 - 49
2014-02-22 vs Louisville Cardinals L 57 - 58
2014-03-01 @ UConn Huskies L 45 - 51
2014-03-06 vs Memphis Tigers W 97 - 84
2014-03-08 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 70 - 66
2014-03-13 vs UCF Knights W 61 - 58
2014-03-14 vs UConn Huskies L 56 - 58
2014-03-20 vs Harvard Crimson L 57 - 61

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sean Kilpatrick Sean Kilpatrick G 30 34.0 20.7 4.5 2.6 1.3 0.0 2.1 10.2 16.8 69 20 3.5 4.4 42.0 35.6 83.3 0.86 85.7 51.3
Justin Jackson Justin Jackson G 30 27.7 11.2 7.2 1.7 1.5 2.9 1.9 5.7 16.9 94 20 4.7 7.6 52.4 0 45.9 4.92 82.7 52.4
Titus Rubles Titus Rubles G 30 29.5 7.5 7.0 1.8 1.2 0.8 1.5 3.8 13.1 42 20 2.1 3.0 40.7 0.0 81.0 -1.16 81.2 40.7
Shaq Thomas Shaq Thomas F 30 22.6 6.8 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.9 3.8 7.1 68 20 3.4 6.4 49.6 14.3 57.5 1.79 78.1 50.0
Jermaine Sanders Jermaine Sanders F 30 21.6 5.9 3.3 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.5 2.9 7.6 31 20 1.6 3.3 40.7 34.0 66.7 -0.7 93.7 51.2
Troy Caupain Troy Caupain G 30 19.0 5.6 2.2 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 2.4 7.4 71 20 3.5 8.3 31.0 21.9 89.7 1.59 100.9 35.9
Ge'Lawn Guyn Ge'Lawn Guyn G 30 19.4 4.7 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.7 13 20 0.7 1.5 33.3 32.7 42.9 0.85 75.2 42.8
Kevin Johnson Kevin Johnson G 29 9.5 3.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.1 4.1 11 19 0.6 2.5 51.5 55.6 100.0 -1.86 141.4 66.7
Jermaine Lawrence Jermaine Lawrence F 23 14.7 2.5 2.8 0.5 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 4.6 32 14 2.3 7.3 16.0 0 43.8 0.72 89.0 16.0
David Nyarsuk David Nyarsuk G 18 7.4 1.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 2.8 18 13 1.4 8.2 44.4 0 100.0 0.41 143.0 44.4
Jeremiah Davis Jeremiah Davis G 5 5.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Morman D. Morman G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zack Tobler Zack Tobler F 6 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
Derek Cox Derek Cox G 3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG