Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Jones * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Van Treese * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Rozier | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kilpatrick * | 40 | 9-26 | 3-14 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 5 | - |
| T. Rubles * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| G. Guyn * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Sanders | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Caupain | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Lawrence | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter