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2014-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% -
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Kilpatrick 32 5-11 1-3 7-9 2 1 2 0 4 18 8 -
J. Jackson 31 6-10 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 7 3 13 18 -
S. Thomas 30 4-9 1-1 1-3 4 0 3 1 0 10 9 -
T. Rubles 26 1-6 0-0 0-1 7 4 1 1 0 2 9 -
J. Sanders 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 3 8 -
T. Caupain 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 5 3 0 1 7 11 -
K. Johnson 16 2-3 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 7 7 -
G. Guyn 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Lawrence 11 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Crawford 38 2-11 1-5 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 5 4 -
S. Goodwin 35 2-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 0 3 6 6 -
J. Jackson 33 6-13 0-1 1-2 5 2 2 0 5 13 4 -
M. Dixon Jr. 29 4-12 1-6 3-6 4 1 2 0 3 12 4 -
G. Johnson 28 2-13 0-5 3-4 5 2 3 1 1 7 4 -
D. Pellom 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 8 11 -
A. Nichols 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 1 -
N. King 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Wilson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter