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2014-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Kilpatrick * 37 7-18 3-9 11-11 5 2 0 0 3 28 14 -
J. Jackson * 37 5-8 0-0 1-1 9 3 2 2 5 11 14 -
T. Rubles * 36 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 5 8 10 -
S. Thomas * 29 4-5 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 11 11 -
G. Guyn * 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
T. Caupain 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Sanders 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
K. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrell * 39 9-13 0-1 0-2 6 2 0 2 3 18 12 -
L. Hancock * 37 5-12 2-8 4-4 0 6 1 0 4 16 7 -
R. Smith * 32 6-15 2-6 2-4 3 4 1 1 4 16 6 -
T. Rozier * 22 3-7 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
M. Mathiang * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
S. Van Treese 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
C. Jones 23 3-11 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -3 -
W. Blackshear 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
T. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter