๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% +6.7 โœ— (9.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ—
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 โœ— (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% - โœ—

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (66-69). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Kilpatrick * 37 7-18 3-9 11-11 5 2 0 0 3 28 14 -
Justin Jackson * 37 5-8 0-0 1-1 9 3 2 2 5 11 14 -
Titus Rubles * 36 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 5 8 10 -
Shaq Thomas * 29 4-5 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 11 11 -
Ge'Lawn Guyn * 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Troy Caupain 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Jermaine Sanders 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
Kevin Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Montrezl Harrell * 39 9-13 0-1 0-2 6 2 0 2 3 18 12 -
Luke Hancock * 37 5-12 2-8 4-4 0 6 1 0 4 16 7 -
Russ Smith * 32 6-15 2-6 2-4 3 4 1 1 4 16 6 -
Terry Rozier * 22 3-7 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
Mangok Mathiang * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Stephan Van Treese 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
Chris Jones 23 3-11 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -3 -
Wayne Blackshear 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Tim Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter