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Bucknell

Also known as: Bucknell Bison, Bucknell
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

60.0
PPG
67.0
Opp
-7.0
Margin
39.5%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
52.6%
FT%
38.0
RPG
13.5
APG
10.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.4
Adj PPG
57.3
Adj Opp PPG
#63
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1255 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1245 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1134 (#22) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +8.3 (#65) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.4 (#86) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.838 (#26) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.0 More โ†’ 0.798 (#71) AdjNet +12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.0 More โ†’ 0.800 (#71) AdjNet +12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 57.3 More โ†’ 0.678 (#63) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 57.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 58.0 More โ†’ 0.636 (#53) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 58.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.738 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.731 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1205 (#51) RD 122 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 70 - 65
2012-11-13 vs George Mason Patriots W 61 - 56
2012-11-16 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 88 - 71
2012-11-17 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 62 - 49
2012-11-18 vs West Alabama Tigers W 69 - 52
2012-11-23 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 57 - 60
2012-11-27 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 62 - 49
2012-12-01 @ Columbia Lions W 65 - 57
2012-12-04 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 76 - 60
2012-12-15 vs La Salle Explorers W 74 - 66
2012-12-17 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 76 - 49
2012-12-19 vs Marist Red Foxes W 71 - 65
2012-12-22 @ Princeton Tigers L 67 - 79
2012-12-28 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 66 - 46
2013-01-02 @ Cornell Big Red W 72 - 56
2013-01-05 @ Missouri Tigers L 64 - 66
2013-01-12 vs Army Black Knights W 76 - 55
2013-01-16 @ Colgate Raiders W 73 - 59
2013-01-19 vs Lafayette Leopards W 66 - 51
2013-01-23 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 62 - 65
2013-01-26 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 65 - 58
2013-01-30 @ American University Eagles W 56 - 55
2013-02-02 vs Navy Midshipmen W 69 - 54
2013-02-09 @ Army Black Knights W 60 - 58
2013-02-13 vs Colgate Raiders W 69 - 61
2013-02-16 @ Lafayette Leopards L 62 - 63
2013-02-18 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 61 - 55
2013-02-24 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 74 - 57
2013-02-27 vs American University Eagles W 66 - 47
2013-03-02 @ Navy Midshipmen W 62 - 46
2013-03-06 vs Navy Midshipmen W 58 - 42
2013-03-09 vs Army Black Knights W 78 - 70
2013-03-13 vs Lafayette Leopards W 64 - 56
2013-03-21 @ Butler Bulldogs L 56 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mike Muscala Mike Muscala C 34 31.7 18.7 11.1 2.3 0.5 2.4 1.7 3.7 29.6 350 29 12.1 16.3 46.5 0.0 76.4 7.71 210.6 46.5
Cameron Ayers Cameron Ayers G 34 31.9 12.4 4.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.0 2.6 15.4 261 29 9.0 12.2 43.3 39.0 66.7 1.57 217.4 52.2
Bryson Johnson Bryson Johnson G 34 32.5 11.1 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.3 13.1 275 29 9.5 12.5 40.3 39.6 84.2 1.57 220.2 52.6
Joe Willman Joe Willman F 34 28.9 10.6 5.9 1.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.6 15.4 201 29 6.9 10.2 52.2 0.0 73.3 -1.43 185.8 52.2
Ryan Hill Ryan Hill G 34 18.7 2.8 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 0.6 5.1 160 29 5.5 12.8 57.9 16.7 27.3 0.25 201.3 60.5
Ryan Frazier Ryan Frazier G 33 16.0 2.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.7 3.8 21 28 0.8 2.0 18.2 11.8 50.0 -1.92 194.5 22.7
Steven Kaspar Steven Kaspar G 34 16.0 2.4 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.6 5.5 79 29 2.7 7.5 45.0 66.7 0.0 -0.73 183.3 50.0
Brian Fitzpatrick Brian Fitzpatrick F 33 8.6 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 3.0 -49 29 -1.7 -9.0 40.7 0 66.7 -5.6 123.1 40.7
Dom Hoffman Dom Hoffman F 29 8.4 2.1 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 3.6 -6 26 -0.2 -1.2 58.3 0 40.0 -3.41 211.3 58.3
Chris Hass Chris Hass G 11 4.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.5 -15 9 -1.7 -17.1 33.3 0.0 0 -1.03 333.3 33.3
Ben Brackney Ben Brackney G 22 7.5 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.6 25 19 1.3 7.6 60.0 100.0 0 -0.01 370.0 80.0
Cory Starkey Cory Starkey F 7 4.1 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.0 -5 6 -0.8 -10.0 100.0 0 0 -0.64 550.0 100.0
Colin Klebon Colin Klebon F 4 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Joshea Singleton Joshea Singleton F 12 4.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.2 1 11 0.1 1.1 50.0 0.0 75.0 -0.52 159.6 50.0
Matt Banas Matt Banas - 3 2.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG