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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 91.3% 8.7% -15.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 87.3% 12.7% - โœ“
Margin 89.8% 10.2% -12.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 73.6% 26.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -14 (59-73). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Ayers * 34 3-8 2-4 6-6 4 1 2 1 2 14 12 -
Mike Muscala * 34 9-16 0-0 7-8 10 4 2 7 0 25 32 -
Bryson Johnson * 34 6-10 3-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 15 6 -
Joe Willman * 30 4-10 0-0 2-2 5 0 3 1 2 10 7 -
Ryan Hill * 18 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Steven Kaspar 28 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 11 2-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Ryan Frazier 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Murphy Burnatowski * 34 8-18 0-4 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 17 2 -
Luke Roh * 34 2-5 0-0 1-1 9 4 0 0 3 5 10 -
John Brandenburg * 32 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 4 8 2 -
Mitch Rolls * 29 3-8 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 7 0 -
Pat Moore * 25 2-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
Damon Sherman-Newsome 21 5-7 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 13 8 -
Brandon James 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
Clayton Graham 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Chad Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter