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2013-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% +22.2 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 โœ“ (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +8 (69-61). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mitch Rolls * 37 4-8 0-2 4-8 2 1 1 0 3 12 5 -
Luke Roh * 34 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 5 2 0 3 3 10 -
Murphy Burnatowski * 27 9-18 1-6 4-4 7 0 1 1 3 23 11 -
Pat Moore * 24 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
John Brandenburg * 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Brandon James 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Clayton Graham 17 1-1 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Damon Sherman-Newsome 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Matt McMullen 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Chad Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Muscala * 36 12-21 0-1 3-5 12 3 0 1 0 27 22 -
Cameron Ayers * 36 5-9 1-3 2-3 7 5 1 0 1 13 16 -
Bryson Johnson * 36 4-11 3-8 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 12 6 -
Joe Willman * 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 8 7 -
Ryan Hill * 25 2-6 1-2 0-1 2 3 1 0 1 5 4 -
Dom Hoffman 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Steven Kaspar 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
Ben Brackney 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Frazier 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter