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2013-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Lehigh Mountain Hawks Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—

Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks -6 (55-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryson Johnson 38 6-13 3-8 4-4 5 5 0 0 1 19 15 -
Cameron Ayers 31 3-8 1-1 1-4 2 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
Mike Muscala 26 3-9 0-1 6-7 9 1 0 4 1 12 16 -
Joe Willman 25 3-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Steven Kaspar 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 7 0 0 1 0 6 -
Ryan Hill 17 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Ryan Frazier 15 1-5 0-4 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Ben Brackney 14 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 6 12 -
Dom Hoffman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mackey McKnight 37 8-18 0-4 1-4 6 3 0 0 1 17 7 -
Holden Greiner 36 8-15 0-2 1-1 7 4 1 1 1 17 14 -
B.J. Bailey 35 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Anthony D'Orazio 34 3-11 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 6 2 -
Gabe Knutson 30 3-10 0-3 2-5 3 1 1 0 1 8 2 -
Justin Goldsborough 14 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Corey Schaefer 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Stefan Cvrkalj 5 1-2 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter