Brown Bears

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016

Also known as: Brown Bears

Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

61.3

PPG

56.8

Opp

+4.6

Margin

38.6%

FG%

29.1%

3P%

66.8%

FT%

40.1

RPG

12.3

APG

15.9

67.5

Est. poss./game

61.7

Adj PPG

58.6

Adj Opp PPG

#129

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1112 (#125)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1107 (#112)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	1036 (#141)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	+2.7 (#134)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	+7.9 (#90)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.629 (#130)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.9 More →	0.629 (#130)	NetEff +3.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.5 More →	0.600 (#141)	AdjNet +3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.6 More →	0.602 (#140)	AdjNet +3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.7 \| AdjD 58.6 More →	0.569 (#129)	AdjO 61.7 \| AdjD 58.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 \| AdjD 57.2 More →	0.587 (#104)	AdjO 61.0 \| AdjD 57.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.611 (#127)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.614 (#123)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 \| GP 26 More →	1088 (#125)	RD 138 \| GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-07	@	Belmont Bruins	L	61 - 83
2025-11-12	@	Holy Cross Crusaders	L	64 - 65
2025-11-16	@	UMBC Retrievers	W	56 - 54
2025-11-19	vs	Boston University Terriers	W	57 - 54
2025-11-23	vs	Maine Black Bears	W	70 - 39
2025-11-25	vs	New Hampshire Wildcats	W	68 - 60
2025-11-28	@	Bucknell Bison	W	61 - 50
2025-11-30	@	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	L	54 - 58
2025-12-03	@	Stonehill Skyhawks	W	74 - 46
2025-12-06	@	George Washington Revolutionaries	L	48 - 53
2025-12-09	@	Merrimack Warriors	W	70 - 60
2025-12-21	vs	Monmouth Hawks	-	Preview
2025-12-29	vs	Wheaton (MA) Lyons	W	76 - 24
2026-01-05	@	Yale Bulldogs	W	88 - 72
2026-01-10	vs	Pennsylvania Quakers	W	77 - 65
2026-01-17	@	Cornell Big Red	W	64 - 48
2026-01-19	@	Columbia Lions	L	52 - 68
2026-01-24	vs	Princeton Tigers	L	49 - 58
2026-01-30	@	Dartmouth Big Green	W	55 - 41
2026-01-31	@	Harvard Crimson	L	58 - 61
2026-02-07	vs	Yale Bulldogs	W	66 - 52
2026-02-13	vs	Dartmouth Big Green	W	58 - 51
2026-02-14	vs	Harvard Crimson	W	68 - 62
2026-02-21	@	Princeton Tigers	L	37 - 69
2026-02-27	vs	Cornell Big Red	W	62 - 47
2026-02-28	vs	Columbia Lions	L	56 - 59
2026-03-07	@	Pennsylvania Quakers	L	56 - 69
2026-03-13	@	Princeton Tigers	L	51 - 65

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Grace Arnolie	G	24	33.7	17.8	3.9	3.4	1.8	0.3	3.5	16.3	7.4	127	17	7.5	9.2	40.8	35.4	83.3	4.45	51.1	48.2
Alyssa Moreland	F	27	26.5	11.4	10.0	2.0	2.2	1.0	2.2	9.8	14.7	83	19	4.4	6.8	50.6	0.0	42.7	0.53	50.3	50.6
Olivia Young	G	27	28.9	7.4	4.6	1.0	1.5	0.6	1.2	7.8	6.0	94	19	4.9	7.0	33.2	25.9	82.8	0.86	44.7	41.7
Ada Anamekwe	F	22	20.0	6.2	4.9	1.1	1.3	0.7	1.9	5.2	7.1	63	15	4.2	7.1	39.1	0.0	69.1	0.91	47.3	39.1
Beth Nelson	F	27	28.8	5.6	2.2	0.9	0.6	0.9	1.4	5.4	3.4	51	19	2.7	3.9	31.7	32.7	81.5	-1.67	48.1	44.5
Charlotte Adams-Lopez	G	27	25.0	5.3	2.3	2.4	0.7	0.1	2.1	5.4	3.1	85	19	4.5	7.7	32.7	28.4	83.9	0.99	44.5	39.8
Mackenzie Leahy	G	3	30.3	5.3	5.3	3.0	1.3	0.0	3.3	6.3	5.3	-	-	-	-	26.3	11.1	62.5	0.99	35.5	28.9
Morgan Ross	F	2	4.0	4.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5	4.5	-	-	-	-	66.7	0	100.0	-	84.0	66.7
Aima Ofunrein	F	18	11.9	3.9	3.3	0.1	0.3	0.1	1.4	3.8	2.4	-10	11	-0.9	-3.7	41.2	0	53.8	-3.63	44.1	41.2
Sela Klein	G	3	8.0	3.7	2.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	1.0	3.3	2.7	-	-	-	-	40.0	50.0	100.0	0.13	52.7	50.0
Isabella Wesley	G	27	16.9	3.3	2.8	1.1	0.5	0.2	1.3	3.4	3.1	53	19	2.8	6.6	31.5	27.3	75.0	-0.99	42.2	36.4
Monet Witherspoon	G	20	8.2	2.5	1.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6	2.8	0.9	27	14	1.9	9.2	43.6	8.3	28.6	-0.13	43.9	44.5
Mady Calhoun	G	20	8.8	1.4	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.3	1.5	1.1	-18	13	-1.4	-7.3	30.0	27.6	100.0	-5.52	44.3	43.3
Charlotte Climenhage	G	14	6.4	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.0	0.3	1.3	0.4	33	8	4.1	21.0	27.8	20.0	0	-0.17	36.1	36.1
Lindsay Harzich	G	5	6.0	0.8	1.4	0.2	0.4	0.0	0.6	2.4	-0.2	-	-	-	-	16.7	0.0	0	-1.12	16.7	16.7
Gia Powell	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1559 located field-goal attempts in 27 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Grace ArnolieAlyssa MorelandOlivia YoungBeth Nelson

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	234-439	53.3	468	Alyssa Moreland 34% (160 pts)	Grace Arnolie 18% (86 pts)	Alyssa Moreland 30% (62 misses)	Ada Anamekwe 19% (38 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	158-416	38.0	316	Alyssa Moreland 34% (106 pts)	Grace Arnolie 22% (70 pts)	Alyssa Moreland 24% (62 misses)	Grace Arnolie 22% (57 misses)
Mid-range left	12-36	33.3	24	Grace Arnolie 50% (12 pts)	Olivia Young 33% (8 pts)	Grace Arnolie 46% (11 misses)	Alyssa Moreland 12% (3 misses)
Mid-range center	15-29	51.7	30	Grace Arnolie 53% (16 pts)	Olivia Young 13% (4 pts)	Grace Arnolie 57% (8 misses)	Olivia Young 21% (3 misses)
Mid-range right	10-45	22.2	20	Grace Arnolie 90% (18 pts)	Olivia Young 10% (2 pts)	Grace Arnolie 49% (17 misses)	Monet Witherspoon 11% (4 misses)
Left corner 3	16-52	30.8	48	Beth Nelson 25% (12 pts)	Charlotte Adams-Lopez 19% (9 pts)	Olivia Young 25% (9 misses)	Beth Nelson 17% (6 misses)
Right corner 3	10-50	20.0	30	Beth Nelson 30% (9 pts)	Grace Arnolie 30% (9 pts)	Grace Arnolie 20% (8 misses)	Beth Nelson 18% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left	59-199	29.6	177	Olivia Young 31% (54 pts)	Grace Arnolie 24% (42 pts)	Olivia Young 34% (48 misses)	Beth Nelson 17% (24 misses)
Above-break 3 center	28-101	27.7	84	Grace Arnolie 43% (36 pts)	Olivia Young 25% (21 pts)	Grace Arnolie 33% (24 misses)	Olivia Young 33% (24 misses)
Above-break 3 right	56-192	29.2	168	Grace Arnolie 43% (72 pts)	Beth Nelson 21% (36 pts)	Grace Arnolie 37% (50 misses)	Beth Nelson 21% (28 misses)