Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +22 (83-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Young | 35 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -3.9 |
| M. Leahy | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -2.4 |
| A. Moreland | 30 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | -1.0 |
| A. Ofunrein | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +0.9 |
| B. Nelson | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -3.6 |
| C. Adams-Lopez | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| I. Wesley | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -7.3 |
| M. Calhoun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| M. Witherspoon | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.1 |
| C. Climenhage | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Banks | 31 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -0.3 |
| T. Jones | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | +2.3 |
| Q. Eubank | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | -1.2 |
| A. Strickland | 25 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -3.0 |
| H. Fuller | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | -2.7 |
| S. Tripp | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +5.8 |
| K. Feltner | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +6.4 |
| K. Brodie | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | +5.6 |
| E. La Chapell | 11 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9 | +5.7 |
| L. West | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| K. McGinnis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| C. Hyde | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter