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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“
Margin 91.0% 9.0% -12.7 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Riley Weiss 39 6-17 2-3 5-5 2 1 3 1 4 19 5 +6.1
Susie Rafiu 33 4-9 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 3 2 10 9 +9.1
Fliss Henderson 33 3-12 0-1 0-0 9 3 2 1 7 6 2 -6.6
Perri Page 32 3-4 0-0 7-7 10 2 4 0 3 13 22 +7.0
Marija Avlijas 31 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 7 4 +8.8
Mia Broom 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 0 -11.8
Nasi Simmons 12 1-3 0-2 2-3 1 0 1 1 1 4 3 +2.8
Hilke Feldrappe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.3
Maria Arrebola 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.0
Eirny Erinugha 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grace Arnolie 36 7-17 1-7 5-6 4 3 5 0 3 20 12 +6.4
Alyssa Moreland 34 5-9 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 1 2 11 13 +8.2
Beth Nelson 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 3 2 7 3 -4.3
Olivia Young 31 2-7 1-6 2-2 5 1 3 1 3 7 7 +8.1
Charlotte Adams-Lopez 27 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 5 -1 +7.6
Ada Anamekwe 22 1-7 0-0 4-4 1 0 5 0 3 6 2 -12.3
Isabella Wesley 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 +1.0
Mady Calhoun 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.3

* = starter