Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Young | 37 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Grace Arnolie | 35 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Beth Nelson | 30 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Alyssa Moreland | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Charlotte Adams-Lopez | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isabella Wesley | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ada Anamekwe | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mady Calhoun | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aima Ofunrein | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Melaschenko | 34 | 4-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Oralye Kiefer | 30 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Mia Fiore | 28 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Se'Lah Reddick | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joi Williams | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Molly Manion | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Madison Roman | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Makayla Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kylee Fears | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter