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Arkansas

Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks, Arkansas
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

67.0
PPG
73.3
Opp
-6.3
Margin
43.2%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
33.7
RPG
14.7
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.2
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#65
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1146 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1107 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1015 (#152) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +8.5 (#64) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +6.6 (#84) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.699 (#72) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More โ†’ 0.830 (#61) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More โ†’ 0.835 (#61) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 64.4 More โ†’ 0.671 (#65) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.574 (#101) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.680 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.662 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1116 (#87) RD 130 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 73 - 68
2012-11-18 vs Longwood Lancers W 112 - 63
2012-11-20 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 89 - 60
2012-11-23 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 68 - 83
2012-11-24 vs Wisconsin Badgers T 0 - 0
2012-11-30 vs Syracuse Orange L 82 - 91
2012-12-04 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 78
2012-12-08 @ Michigan Wolverines L 67 - 80
2012-12-15 vs Alcorn State Braves W 97 - 59
2012-12-20 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 79 - 74
2012-12-22 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 95 - 68
2012-12-29 vs Northwestern State Demons W 79 - 61
2013-01-05 vs Delaware State Hornets W 86 - 51
2013-01-09 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 51 - 69
2013-01-12 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 56 - 33
2013-01-16 vs Auburn Tigers W 88 - 80
2013-01-19 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 64 - 76
2013-01-23 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 96 - 70
2013-01-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 54 - 75
2013-01-31 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 56 - 59
2013-02-02 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 73 - 60
2013-02-05 vs Florida Gators W 80 - 69
2013-02-09 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 49 - 67
2013-02-13 @ Auburn Tigers W 83 - 75
2013-02-16 vs Missouri Tigers W 73 - 71
2013-02-21 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 62 - 60
2013-02-23 @ Florida Gators L 54 - 71
2013-02-27 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 65
2013-03-02 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 73 - 60
2013-03-05 @ Missouri Tigers L 63 - 93
2013-03-09 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 73 - 62
2013-03-14 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 72 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B.J. Young B.J. Young G 31 27.9 15.2 3.5 3.4 0.7 0.3 2.1 3.9 17.1 94 26 3.6 5.8 39.2 20.0 71.9 3.24 175.3 41.7
Marshawn Powell Marshawn Powell F 32 25.6 14.5 5.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.8 3.5 18.3 92 27 3.4 5.9 50.0 33.3 69.0 2.31 185.6 53.1
Coty Clarke Coty Clarke F 31 20.4 7.6 5.2 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 13.1 108 26 4.2 9.3 54.7 33.3 73.7 4.05 169.2 56.6
Mardracus Wade Mardracus Wade G 32 23.6 6.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 0.2 1.1 1.4 9.1 17 27 0.6 1.2 31.8 26.7 60.0 -2.0 205.5 40.9
Hunter Mickelson Hunter Mickelson F 32 16.6 5.4 3.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.7 8.8 38 27 1.4 3.6 39.6 0.0 66.7 1.15 151.9 39.6
Michael Qualls Michael Qualls G 31 15.6 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 8.4 7 26 0.3 0.7 36.1 25.0 80.0 -1.11 188.5 40.3
Anthlon Bell Anthlon Bell G 29 9.2 4.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.0 3.5 19 25 0.8 3.7 32.8 35.6 100.0 -0.4 108.7 46.6
Rickey Scott Rickey Scott G 32 14.4 4.3 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 1.1 6.8 122 27 4.5 14.4 42.9 50.0 48.0 3.36 148.9 50.0
Rashad Madden Rashad Madden G 31 16.8 4.2 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.9 7.2 -31 26 -1.2 -2.9 50.0 22.2 77.8 -3.38 181.0 53.6
Jacorey Williams Jacorey Williams F 30 9.3 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 4.8 35 25 1.4 6.3 39.3 25.0 80.0 0.67 155.9 42.9
Kikko Haydar Kikko Haydar G 31 13.3 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.2 56 26 2.2 7.4 44.4 45.0 50.0 1.69 165.5 61.1
Fred Gulley Fred Gulley G 21 13.0 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.3 3.5 24 17 1.4 4.5 28.6 25.0 40.0 -0.8 173.9 35.7
DeQuavious Wagner DeQuavious Wagner G 20 6.3 1.4 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.4 -8 18 -0.4 -2.9 25.0 28.6 0 -2.9 116.7 33.3
Davion Spivey Davion Spivey - 6 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 100.0 50.0
Charlie Henderson Charlie Henderson - 5 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG