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2012-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.0% 11.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Fair * 39 5-10 0-2 4-5 4 2 0 1 4 14 7 -
Michael Carter-Williams * 34 7-15 0-3 3-5 10 9 3 0 6 17 18 -
Brandon Triche * 31 7-16 2-7 1-2 3 3 4 0 3 17 8 -
Rakeem Christmas * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 3 0 1 -
DaJuan Coleman * 12 1-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
James Southerland 32 12-17 9-13 2-3 6 0 0 1 2 35 23 -
B. Keita 25 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 3 9 -
Trevor Cooney 14 0-2 0-1 2-4 0 3 0 1 1 2 3 -
Jerami Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Young * 34 10-23 1-6 4-6 5 1 1 0 3 25 6 -
Marshawn Powell * 28 5-10 0-0 9-10 7 1 2 0 1 19 18 -
Rashad Madden * 24 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 4 3 -
Mardracus Wade * 20 0-4 0-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
Hunter Mickelson * 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 5 4 -
Coty Clarke 24 2-4 1-2 4-5 7 2 4 0 1 9 17 -
DeQuavious Wagner 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 6 7 -
Jacorey Williams 17 1-6 0-3 3-3 4 1 1 1 2 5 4 -
Anthlon Bell 9 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Rickey Scott 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
Michael Qualls 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter