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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 2.1% 97.9% +24.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +27.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +27 (95-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Crutcher * 33 3-11 2-4 8-10 1 4 0 0 5 16 5 -
Justin Banks * 25 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 8 8 -
Brandon Ellis * 24 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -7 -
Demarquelle Tabb * 22 6-9 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 2 15 10 -
Green Hill 33 6-11 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 12 6 -
Jose Long 25 0-4 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 2 0 1 6 -
Tyler Davis 15 3-5 3-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Justin Wagner 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Justin Colvin 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Arthur Capers 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nicholas West 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Young * 25 5-11 2-5 1-1 4 9 2 0 1 13 16 -
Marshawn Powell * 22 9-13 0-1 2-6 6 2 3 0 2 20 16 -
Rickey Scott * 17 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
Hunter Mickelson * 16 3-10 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 3 0 9 10 -
Mardracus Wade * 16 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 2 4 -
JaCorey Williams 18 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
Rashad Madden 17 3-7 1-2 1-2 1 3 1 1 1 8 6 -
Coty Clarke 13 4-5 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 1 10 14 -
Michael Qualls 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 3 0 4 5 -
Kikko Haydar 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Fred Gulley 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Anthlon Bell 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
DeQuavious Wagner 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Davion Spivey 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter