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2013-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Log Adjusted 76.4% 23.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 25 32 -
P. Pressey * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 4 9 13 -
J. Brown * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 8 11 -
L. Bowers * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 8 -
A. Oriakhi * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 2 7 17 -
E. Ross 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 16 27 -
T. Criswell 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 3 9 -
R. Rosburg 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Powell * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 24 28 -
M. Wade * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 3 9 -
B. Young * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 5 18 23 -
C. Clarke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 13 20 -
R. Scott Jr. * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 1 4 -
R. Madden 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
K. Haydar 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
M. Qualls 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
H. Mickelson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 9 -
F. Gulley III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter