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Arizona

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2018 Team Stats (25 games)

79.6
PPG
69.8
Opp
+9.8
Margin
51.2%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
76.6%
FT%
37.3
RPG
15.2
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.4
Adj PPG
67.1
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1334 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1271 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1120 (#34) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.3 (#28) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.3 (#44) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.792 (#31) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.912 (#26) AdjNet +20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.913 (#26) AdjNet +20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.769 (#28) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 67.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.661 (#41) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.812 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.795 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 35 More → 1286 (#18) RD 112 | GP 35

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 101 - 67
2017-11-12 vs UMBC Retrievers W 103 - 78
2017-11-16 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 91 - 59
2017-11-22 @ NC State Wolfpack L 84 - 90
2017-11-23 @ SMU Mustangs L 60 - 66
2017-11-24 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 64 - 89
2017-11-29 vs Long Beach State Beach W 91 - 56
2017-12-02 @ UNLV Rebels W 91 - 88
2017-12-05 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 67 - 64
2017-12-09 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 88 - 82
2017-12-16 @ New Mexico Lobos W 89 - 73
2017-12-18 vs North Dakota State Bison W 83 - 53
2017-12-21 vs UConn Huskies W 73 - 58
2017-12-30 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 84 - 78
2018-01-04 @ Utah Utes W 94 - 82
2018-01-06 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 77 - 80
2018-01-11 vs Oregon State Beavers W 62 - 53
2018-01-13 vs Oregon Ducks W 90 - 83
2018-01-17 @ California Golden Bears W 79 - 58
2018-01-20 @ Stanford Cardinal W 73 - 71
2018-01-25 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 80 - 71
2018-01-27 vs Utah Utes W 74 - 73
2018-01-31 @ Washington State Cougars W 100 - 72
2018-02-03 @ Washington Huskies L 75 - 78
2018-02-08 vs UCLA Bruins L 74 - 82
2018-02-10 vs USC Trojans W 81 - 67
2018-02-15 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 77 - 70
2018-02-22 @ Oregon State Beavers W 75 - 65
2018-02-24 @ Oregon Ducks L 93 - 98
2018-03-01 vs Stanford Cardinal W 75 - 67
2018-03-03 vs California Golden Bears W 66 - 54
2018-03-08 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 83 - 67
2018-03-09 vs UCLA Bruins W 78 - 67
2018-03-10 vs USC Trojans W 75 - 61
2018-03-15 vs Buffalo Bulls L 68 - 89

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Deandre Ayton Deandre Ayton - 35 33.5 20.1 11.6 1.6 0.6 1.9 2.0 10.5 23.3 84 27 3.1 3.9 61.0 33.3 75.7 0.1 80.8 61.9
Allonzo Trier Allonzo Trier - 33 34.1 18.1 3.0 3.2 0.6 0.3 2.1 9.1 14.2 163 25 6.5 8.0 50.2 39.5 86.8 5.77 82.5 60.5
Rawle Alkins Rawle Alkins G 23 31.4 13.1 4.8 2.5 1.3 0.7 2.6 9.7 10.2 86 19 4.5 6.1 43.5 37.1 73.9 -0.81 57.3 50.9
Dusan Ristic Dusan Ristic C 35 27.1 12.2 6.9 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.3 7.8 11.7 154 27 5.7 8.8 57.7 46.2 80.6 3.82 70.2 58.8
Parker Jackson-Cartwright Parker Jackson-Cartwright G 35 32.0 7.8 2.4 4.5 1.4 0.1 1.9 4.7 9.6 116 27 4.3 5.6 43.6 41.3 75.0 1.27 72.9 56.7
Dylan Smith Dylan Smith G 34 14.6 4.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.2 3.2 -15 27 -0.6 -1.7 35.2 33.7 85.7 -3.44 64.4 48.1
Brandon Randolph Brandon Randolph G 31 11.6 3.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.2 -14 24 -0.6 -2.3 30.8 24.1 61.5 -2.2 82.0 36.2
Ira Lee Ira Lee F 27 10.2 2.4 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 4.0 -16 19 -0.8 -4.3 53.1 0.0 61.9 -1.69 77.6 53.1
Alex Barcello Alex Barcello G 21 9.6 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.9 -10 15 -0.7 -4.1 50.0 33.3 75.0 -0.42 84.7 57.7
Keanu Pinder Keanu Pinder F 32 10.4 2.3 2.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.0 3.9 24 26 0.9 3.7 71.9 0 64.3 1.37 84.6 71.9
Emmanuel Akot Emmanuel Akot - 31 10.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.9 8 23 0.3 1.5 41.7 40.0 45.5 0.11 53.0 50.0
Tyler Trillo Tyler Trillo G 2 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.07 150.0 150.0
Jake Desjardins Jake Desjardins F 3 2.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Talbott Denny Talbott Denny F 3 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.07 56.8 0
Matt Weyand Matt Weyand F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG