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2018-02-10

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Metu * 31 6-13 0-3 6-8 4 0 1 0 1 18 9 -
D. Thornton * 31 1-4 1-1 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. McLaughlin * 30 5-9 3-4 3-4 4 5 1 0 1 16 16 -
E. Stewart * 28 3-7 1-4 0-2 0 1 1 1 3 7 0 -
N. Rakocevic * 25 6-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 12 12 -
B. Boatwright 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
J. Mathews 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Usher 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Trier * 38 5-8 3-5 1-2 8 4 1 0 2 14 17 -
R. Alkins * 33 7-12 4-7 2-2 3 5 1 1 3 20 15 -
P. Jackson-Cartwright * 32 2-3 1-2 0-1 3 4 2 1 1 5 11 -
D. Ayton * 32 7-16 1-3 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 18 9 -
D. Ristic * 30 7-9 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 2 16 18 -
K. Pinder 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
D. Smith 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
E. Akot 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
I. Lee 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Randolph 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -

* = starter