Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trier * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 9 | - |
| P. Jackson-Cartwright * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Ayton * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| D. Smith * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Ristic * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Pinder | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Akot | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Lee | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Randolph | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Barcello | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foster * | 39 | 2-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Milton * | 38 | 3-16 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Whitt Jr. * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Emelogu II * | 32 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| E. Chargois * | 14 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| E. Landrum | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Douglas | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Ray | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Agau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter