Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McLaughlin * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Mathews * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| E. Stewart * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Rakocevic * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Metu * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Usher | 14 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Aaron | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ayton * | 39 | 14-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 29 | - |
| P. Jackson-Cartwright * | 38 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Trier * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Ristic * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Alkins * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Pinder | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Akot | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter