Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holder * | 36 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 15-16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| S. Evans II * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Justice * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. White * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Martin | 24 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Lake | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| V. Shibel | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ayton * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 29 | - |
| A. Trier * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 10-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| P. Jackson-Cartwright * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Alkins * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Ristic * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Randolph | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Smith | 12 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| I. Lee | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Barcello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter