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Arizona State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History
Coach: Bobby Hurley

2018 Team Stats (18 games)

80.2
PPG
75.1
Opp
+5.1
Margin
45.2%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
35.9
RPG
14.2
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
83.7
Adj PPG
71.8
Adj Opp PPG
#36
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1091 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 963 (#225) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +12.9 (#35) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +7.7 (#77) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.758 (#47) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.9 More → 0.887 (#39) AdjNet +17.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.1 More → 0.889 (#39) AdjNet +18.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.747 (#36) AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.589 (#95) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 73.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.658 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 32 More → 1078 (#112) RD 117 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Idaho State Bengals W 94 - 74
2017-11-14 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 90 - 68
2017-11-17 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 97 - 62
2017-11-19 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 99 - 78
2017-11-23 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 92 - 90
2017-11-24 @ Xavier Musketeers W 102 - 86
2017-12-02 vs San Francisco Dons W 75 - 57
2017-12-08 vs St. John's Red Storm W 82 - 70
2017-12-10 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 95 - 85
2017-12-17 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 76 - 64
2017-12-19 vs Longwood Lancers W 95 - 61
2017-12-22 vs Pacific Tigers W 104 - 65
2017-12-30 @ Arizona Wildcats L 78 - 84
2018-01-04 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 81 - 90
2018-01-07 @ Utah Utes W 80 - 77
2018-01-11 vs Oregon Ducks L 72 - 76
2018-01-13 vs Oregon State Beavers W 77 - 75
2018-01-17 @ Stanford Cardinal L 77 - 86
2018-01-20 @ California Golden Bears W 81 - 73
2018-01-25 vs Utah Utes L 77 - 80
2018-01-27 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 80 - 66
2018-02-01 @ Washington Huskies L 64 - 68
2018-02-04 @ Washington State Cougars W 88 - 78
2018-02-08 vs USC Trojans W 80 - 78
2018-02-10 vs UCLA Bruins W 88 - 79
2018-02-15 vs Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 77
2018-02-22 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 75
2018-02-24 @ Oregon State Beavers L 75 - 79
2018-03-01 vs California Golden Bears W 84 - 53
2018-03-03 vs Stanford Cardinal L 83 - 84
2018-03-07 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 85 - 97
2018-03-14 vs Syracuse Orange L 56 - 60

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tra Holder Tra Holder G 30 35.1 18.2 3.9 3.3 1.3 0.0 2.5 9.2 14.9 173 24 7.2 8.8 38.8 34.2 82.0 0.45 82.8 46.0
Shannon Evans Shannon Evans G 30 34.9 16.5 3.3 3.3 1.3 0.3 1.7 8.9 14.0 218 24 9.1 11.2 35.6 36.0 84.0 4.38 81.8 46.6
Kodi Justice Kodi Justice G 30 32.5 12.7 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.4 7.3 10.1 167 24 7.0 9.3 45.0 38.6 70.3 0.59 81.5 57.3
Romello White Romello White F 29 23.8 9.8 6.9 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.3 4.6 12.0 114 23 5.0 8.9 64.2 0 52.9 1.04 79.0 64.2
Remy Martin Remy Martin G 30 23.0 9.7 2.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 1.2 5.1 10.3 109 24 4.5 8.1 46.1 38.6 73.1 -0.87 80.4 51.6
De'Quon Lake De'Quon Lake F 30 17.2 6.6 4.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.4 2.6 10.2 153 24 6.4 15.9 66.2 0 74.4 3.2 104.6 66.2
Mickey Mitchell Mickey Mitchell F 24 22.6 5.8 5.2 1.6 0.9 0.5 1.4 3.4 9.3 74 18 4.1 7.7 51.2 35.3 64.7 0.16 72.2 54.9
Kimani Lawrence Kimani Lawrence F 19 9.8 3.1 1.7 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 4.2 25 13 1.9 7.8 33.3 0.0 75.0 -1.12 127.4 33.3
Vitaliy Shibel Vitaliy Shibel F 30 9.9 1.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 3.0 65 24 2.7 9.7 40.5 33.3 50.0 -0.86 69.7 54.1
Austin Witherill Austin Witherill G 14 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 13 11 1.2 15.8 50.0 50.0 0 -1.43 250.0 75.0
Grant Fogerty Grant Fogerty G 11 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -11 9 -1.2 -64.1 0.0 0.0 0 -3.71 0.0 0.0
Jordan Salzman Jordan Salzman G 8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -10 6 -1.7 -78.2 0.0 0 0 -3.38 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG